Showing posts with label Mathematical Models. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mathematical Models. Show all posts

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Mathematical models

Use mathematical techniques to link decision variables, uncontrollable variables, parameters, and result variables together:
  • Decision Variables have values that describe choices.
  • Uncontrollable Variables have values that are outside the decision-maker’s control.
  • Parameters are fixed factors (constants).
  • Intermediate Result Variables are intermediate outcomes.
  • Result Variables are outcomes dependent on chosen decision variables, uncontrollable variables, parameters and intermediate results.
Quantitative models
  • Quantitative relationships.
  • Variables involved in the model have numerical values.
  • Outcomes are numerical.

“if the sales this year are $400,000 and they increase by 10% next year, the sales will be $440,000”

Nonquantitative models (qualitative models)
  • Qualitative relationships.
  • Variables involved in the model have qualitative values that are represented within the model by numerical values.
  • Outcomes are qualitative / numerical.

“indicate your happiness with our product on a scale of 1 (very unhappy) to 5 (very happy). …”

Results (outcomes) = f(decision variables, uncontrollable variables, parameters, intermediate results)

Types of Models

Physical models
  • Physical (touchable) representations.
  • A smaller or larger physical copy of an object.
Abstract models
  • Generalisations of reality that remove specific details in favour of general information which is relevant for the purpose.
Object models
  • Represent, describe and simplify the appearance, structure, organisation and functioning of things (objects).
Process models
  • Represent, describe and simplify the dynamic nature of processes.
Descriptive Models
  • Describe the reality as it is or as it is believed to be.
  • E.g. mathematical models (see below).
  • Useful for satisficing.
Mathematical Models
  • Describe reality using mathematical language and techniques, often variables and systems of equations that relate outputs to inputs.
Simulations
  • Computerised models of dynamic processes.